Tuesday, March 8, 2016

Another Version of John Murphy's Ten Laws of Technical Trading

I have a chat with a Facebook friend and he/she is apparently using a somewhat similar version of John Murphy's Ten Laws of Technical Trading. He is not using a real account so I better not disclose his/her identity but he/she is giving tips for free.

Three Short Way to Analyze Charts:

1st Step: Monthly Chart
Analyze the Monthly chart and identify its trend direction; locate its significant support and resistance, chart patterns, Fibonacci ratios, etc.  Apply all technical analysis to read the trend. 

2nd Step: Weekly Chart
Identify the current trend from the Weekly chart. 

If the Monthly chart is bullish and the Weekly chart is bearish, find out if the bearishness of the Weekly chart is a retracement of some patterns from the Monthly Chart.  Use this retracement as an opportunity to enter Long position.  Use your Fibonacci retracement tool to measure the % retracement areas.  Significant Fibonacci retracement ratios are 38%, 50%, and 61%.

If the Monthly chart is bearish and the Weekly chart is bullish, find out if the bullishness of the Weekly chart is a retracement of patterns from the Monthly Chart.  Use this retracement as you opportunity to Sell Short.  Use your Fibonacci retracement tool to measure the % retracement areas.  Significant Fibonacci retracement ratios are 38%, 50%, and 61%.

If both the Monthly and the Weekly charts have the same direction/trend, find out if the trend is still in progress and trade in that direction.  Avoid trend exhaustion.  You will be left out from its tops and bottoms.

3rd Step: Daily chart
This is the chart that pinpoints the exact trade Entries, based on the exiting trend of the Monthly chart.  This is your area of precision.  It is in this chart where you are going to precisely locate the turning points of the price movements and create your positions at those turning points.

READY, AIM, FIRE method (Summary of the Technique):

READY - identify the major trend from the Monthly chart and trade in that direction;

AIM - create your timing during retracements utilizing the Weekly chart.  If the Monthly chart is bullish, BUY low during retracements from the Weekly chart.  If the Monthly chart is bearish, SELL high during retracements from the Weekly chart.


FIRE - achieve a precision timing for your Entries at the Daily chart by pinpoint the exact areas of price's turning points.